國際時事跟讀 Ep. L104: 日本首相言論點燃中日外交戰火 Japan PM's Taiwan Remarks Trigger China Crisis

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國際時事跟讀 Ep. L104: Japan PM's Taiwan Remarks Trigger China Crisis


Highlights 主題摘要

• Japanese PM Takaichi said Japan might respond militarily if China blockades Taiwan, ending strategic ambiguity.
• China retaliated with travel warnings, trade restrictions, and symbolic diplomatic gestures, escalating the dispute into economic confrontation.
• The conflict exposes deep historical wounds and threatens billions in bilateral trade between Asia's major economies.

In early November, Japan's newly appointed Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi made a statement that shattered diplomatic norms. During a parliamentary session, she declared that a Chinese naval blockade of Taiwan could constitute a "survival-threatening situation" for Japan, potentially justifying military intervention. This frank acknowledgment departed sharply from Japan's traditional policy of strategic ambiguity, which deliberately avoided specifying how Tokyo would respond to a Taiwan crisis. China's reaction was swift and fierce, with Beijing demanding immediate retractions and warning of consequences.

在十一月初，日本新任首相高市早苗發表了一項打破外交常規的聲明。在國會會議中，她宣稱中國對台灣的海上封鎖可能構成日本的「生存威脅情勢」，可能正當化軍事干預。這項坦率的表態與日本傳統的戰略模糊政策形成鮮明對比，傳統的政策刻意避免具體說明東京將如何回應台灣危機。中國對此反應迅速而激烈，北京要求立即撤回言論並警告將有後果。

The dispute rapidly escalated beyond diplomatic protests. China issued travel advisories urging citizens to avoid Japan, targeting the nation's tourism sector that welcomed 7.5 million Chinese visitors in nine months. Major Chinese airlines offered refunds for Japan-bound flights, while authorities suspended Japanese film screenings and threatened seafood export bans. Beijing even took the matter to the United Nations, accusing Japan of planning aggression. Most symbolically, during bilateral talks in Beijing, Chinese diplomat Liu Jinsong wore a distinctive five-button suit associated with China's 1919 anti-imperialist movement, standing with hands in pockets while the Japanese envoy appeared to bow—an image that went viral on Chinese social media.

爭端迅速升級，已超越外交抗議範疇。中國發布旅遊警示，敦促公民避免前往日本，主要針對該國在九個月內接待了750萬中國遊客的旅遊業。中國主要航空公司提供前往日本航班的退款，當局暫停日本電影放映並威脅海鮮出口禁令。北京甚至將此事提交聯合國，指控日本計劃侵略。最具象徵意義的是，在北京雙邊會談期間，中國外交官劉勁松穿著與中國1919年反帝運動相關的獨特五扣西裝，雙手插在口袋裡站立，而日本特使則似乎鞠躬——這一畫面在中國社交媒體上瘋傳。

China's fury reflects profound historical grievances. Imperial Japan's brutal occupation during the 20th century, including the Nanjing Massacre where over 200,000 civilians were killed, remains raw in Chinese collective memory. Beijing views Takaichi's hawkish stance as evidence that Japan seeks to revive militarism, particularly troubling as Tokyo increases defense spending and acquires counterstrike capabilities. For China, which considers reunification with Taiwan essential to its "national rejuvenation" by mid-century, Japan's potential interference threatens core strategic objectives. The territorial dispute over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands adds another volatile layer to bilateral tensions.

中國的憤怒反映深刻的歷史恩怨。日本帝國在二十世紀的殘暴佔領，包括南京大屠殺超過二十萬平民被殺，在中國集體記憶中仍歷歷在目。北京將高市的鷹派立場視為日本尋求復興軍國主義的證據，特別令人不安的是東京正在增加國防開支並獲取反擊能力。對於視與台灣統一為本世紀中葉「民族復興」核心的中國而言，日本潛在的干預威脅核心戰略目標。釣魚台群島的領土爭端為雙邊緊張局勢增添另一層不穩定因素。

The standoff shows no signs of resolution. Takaichi has refused to retract her comments, maintaining they reflect Japan's consistent position, while China continues demanding apologies. The economic stakes are enormous: China is Japan's second-largest export market, purchasing $125 billion in Japanese goods annually, while Tokyo bought $152 billion from China in 2024. Japanese seafood exporters and businesses face mounting uncertainty. Both nations remain locked in a confrontation where neither side appears willing to back down, leaving the region's stability hanging in precarious balance.

僵局毫無解決跡象。高市拒絕撤回言論，堅稱這反映日本一貫立場，而中國則持續要求道歉。經濟利害關係巨大：中國是日本第二大出口市場，每年購買1250億美元的日本商品，而東京在2024年從中國購買了1520億美元。日本海鮮出口商和企業面臨日益增長的不確定性。兩國仍陷於對抗，雙方似乎都不願讓步，使地區政局的穩定性岌岌可危。

Keyword Drills 關鍵字

1. Blockade [noun, an act of sealing off a place to prevent goods or people from entering or leaving]: She declared that a Chinese naval blockade of Taiwan could constitute a "survival-threatening situation" for Japan.
2. Symbolically [adverb, in a way that represents or expresses something]: Most symbolically, during bilateral talks in Beijing, Chinese diplomat Liu Jinsong wore a distinctive five-button suit associated with China's 1919 anti-imperialist movement.
3. Hawkish [adjective, favoring aggressive or warlike policies]: Beijing views Takaichi's hawkish stance as evidence that Japan seeks to revive militarism.
4. Reunification [noun, the process of uniting again after being separated]: For China, which considers reunification with Taiwan essential to its "national rejuvenation" by mid-century, Japan's potential interference threatens core strategic objectives.
5. Standoff [noun, a deadlock between two equally matched opponents]: The standoff shows no signs of resolution.

Reference articles:
1. https://edition.cnn.com/2025/11/20/china/china-japan-takaichi-analysis-intl-hnk
2. https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2025/11/22/china-spat-with-japan-on-taiwan-deepens-reaches-un-whats-it-all-about
3. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/crklvx2n7rzo